Effectuation Dynamics in AI Entrepreneurship: A Multi-case Study

Hang Ju (Primary Contact)

School of Business Management, Northern University of Malaysia, Malaysia

Shamsul Huda Abd Rani (Author)

School of Business Management, Northern University of Malaysia, Malaysia

Mohamad Hanif Abu Hassan (Author)

School of Business Management, Northern University of Malaysia, Malaysia

Keywords:

Effectuation, AI startups, Entrepreneurial decision-making, Strategic adaptation

Published

31-12-2025

Abstract

This study investigates the evolution mechanism of effectuation logic in artificial intelligence (AI) startups, with particular attention to the moderating role of dynamic capabilities. Drawing upon Sarasvathy's effectuation theory and the dynamic capabilities framework, we examine how AI-induced environmental uncertainty influences entrepreneurs' decision-making logic and how this logic evolves as ventures mature. Through multiple case studies of six relatively successful AI startups in China, we identify a three-stage evolution pathway: exploration, integration, and optimization. Our findings reveal that dynamic capabilities—specifically sensing, seizing, and reconfiguring capabilities—serve as critical moderators in this evolutionary process, while also demonstrating reciprocal relationships with effectual reasoning. We discuss the limitations inherent in studying successful ventures and explicitly articulate boundary conditions for our theoretical propositions, acknowledging that our findings may characterize successful adaptation strategies rather than typical entrepreneurial behavior.

References
  • [1] SARASVATHY S D. Causation and effectuation: Toward a theoretical shift from economic inevitability to entrepreneurial contingency[J]. Academy of Management Review, 2001, 26(2): 243-263. DOI: https://doi.org/10.2307/259121

  • [2] TEECE D J. Business models and dynamic capabilities[J]. Long Range Planning, 2018, 51(1): 40-49. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.lrp.2017.06.007

  • [3] AGRAWAL A, GANS J, GOLDFARB A. Prediction machines: The simple economics of artificial intelligence[M]. Boston: Harvard Business Review Press, 2018.

  • [4] SARASVATHY S D. Effectuation: Elements of entrepreneurial expertise[M]. Cheltenham: Edward Elgar Publishing, 2008. DOI: https://doi.org/10.4337/9781848440197.00024

  • [5] REYMEN I M, ANDRIES P, BERENDS H, et al. Understanding dynamics of strategic decision making in venture creation[J]. Strategic Entrepreneurship Journal, 2015, 9(4): 351-379. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1002/sej.1201

  • [6] TEECE D J. Explicating dynamic capabilities: The nature and microfoundations of (sustainable) enterprise performance[J]. Strategic Management Journal, 2007, 28(13): 1319-1350. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1002/smj.640

  • [7] CHANDLER G N, DETIENNE D R, MCKELVIE A, et al. Causation and effectuation processes: A validation study[J]. Journal of Business Venturing, 2011, 26(3): 375-390. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbusvent.2009.10.006

  • [8] SMOLKA K M, VERHEUL I, BURMEISTER-LAMP K, et al. Get it together! Synergistic effects of causal and effectual decision-making logics on venture performance[J]. Entrepreneurship Theory and Practice, 2018, 42(4): 571-604. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1177/1042258718783429

  • [9] HELFAT C E, PETERAF M A. Managerial cognitive capabilities and the microfoundations of dynamic capabilities[J]. Strategic Management Journal, 2015, 36(6): 831-850. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1002/smj.2247

  • [10] AREND R J, SAROOGHI H, BURKEMPER A. Effectuation as ineffectual? Applying the 3E theory-assessment framework to a proposed new theory of entrepreneurship[J]. Academy of Management Review, 2015, 40(4): 630-651. DOI: https://doi.org/10.5465/amr.2014.0455

  • [11] YIN R K. Case study research and applications: Design and methods[M]. 6th ed. Thousand Oaks: Sage, 2018.

  • [12] MILES M B, HUBERMAN A M, SALDAÑA J. Qualitative data analysis: A methods sourcebook[M]. 4th ed. Thousand Oaks: Sage, 2020.

  • [13] FISHER G. Effectuation, causation, and bricolage: A behavioral comparison of emerging theories in entrepreneurship research[J]. Entrepreneurship Theory and Practice, 2012, 36(5): 1019-1051. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6520.2012.00537.x

  • [14] TEECE D J. Dynamic capabilities: Routines versus entrepreneurial action[J]. Journal of Management Studies, 2012, 49(8): 1395-1401. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-6486.2012.01080.x

  • [15] BRYNJOLFSSON E, MCAFEE A. The business of artificial intelligence[J]. Harvard Business Review, 2017, 95(1): 3-11.

PDF
Issue
Vol. 1 No. 1 (2025)
Section
文章
License

How to Cite

Hang Ju, Shamsul Huda Abd Rani, & Mohamad Hanif Abu Hassan. (2025). Effectuation Dynamics in AI Entrepreneurship: A Multi-case Study. Journal of Innovation and Entrepreneurship, 1(1), 98-110. https://doi.org/10.63944/qbe5.JIE